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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Primera División · Clausura - Round 14

Argentinos Juniors

ARG

Independiente Rivadavia

INE

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Argentinos Juniors40%
Draw23%
Independiente Rivadavia38%

Expected goals

1.96 – 1.91

Over 2.5

73%

Both to score

74%

Fair handicap

0.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–18.2%
  • 2–17.6%
  • 1–27.4%
  • 2–27.4%
  • 3–24.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Argentinos Juniors will have the ball; Independiente Rivadavia will not mind.

65%Possession45%
38%Territory40%
25%From set plays23%
0.07Chance quality0.15
6.8%Directness7.7%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Argentinos Juniors, 3 for Independiente Rivadavia. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 36 of 390 matches, not the full season.