Primera División · Clausura - Round 14
Talleres
TAL
Defensa y Justicia
DEF
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Talleres46%
Draw24%
Defensa y Justicia30%
Expected goals
1.80 – 1.44
Over 2.5
62%
Both to score
65%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.4%
- 2–19.1%
- 1–07.5%
- 1–27.1%
- 2–26.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
59%Possession52%
49%Territory38%
18%From set plays23%
0.07Chance quality0.10
4.8%Directness6.1%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Talleres, 3 for Defensa y Justicia. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 36 of 390 matches, not the full season.