Primera División · Clausura - Round 14
Instituto
INS
Deportivo Riestra
DEP
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Instituto50%
Draw28%
Deportivo Riestra22%
Expected goals
1.47 – 0.90
Over 2.5
42%
Both to score
47%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–014.2%
- 1–112.4%
- 0–010.4%
- 2–09.6%
- 2–19.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
49%Possession36%
38%Territory44%
40%From set plays21%
0.06Chance quality0.07
7.8%Directness10.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Instituto, 2 for Deportivo Riestra. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Deportivo Riestra
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 36 of 390 matches, not the full season.