Primera División · Clausura - Round 14
Unión
UNI
Estudiantes
EST
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Unión41%
Draw25%
Estudiantes34%
Expected goals
1.66 – 1.50
Over 2.5
60%
Both to score
64%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.8%
- 2–18.7%
- 1–27.8%
- 1–07.5%
- 2–26.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
42%Possession58%
36%Territory36%
28%From set plays37%
0.09Chance quality0.07
9.4%Directness7.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Unión, 3 for Estudiantes. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 36 of 390 matches, not the full season.