Primera División · Clausura - Round 14
San Lorenzo
SAN
Newell's Old Boys
NEW
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
San Lorenzo36%
Draw28%
Newell's Old Boys36%
Expected goals
1.31 – 1.31
Over 2.5
48%
Both to score
55%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.7%
- 0–19.9%
- 1–09.8%
- 0–08.5%
- 1–28.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
San Lorenzo get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
44%Possession45%
36%Territory33%
50%From set plays32%
0.07Chance quality0.10
7.6%Directness8.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for San Lorenzo, 3 for Newell's Old Boys. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Newell's Old Boys
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 36 of 390 matches, not the full season.