Primera División · Clausura - Round 14
Banfield
BAN
Lanús
LAN
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Banfield29%
Draw21%
Lanús50%
Expected goals
1.79 – 2.30
Over 2.5
76%
Both to score
75%
Fair handicap
0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–28.0%
- 1–17.2%
- 2–27.1%
- 2–16.1%
- 1–35.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
41%Possession56%
37%Territory40%
49%From set plays43%
0.11Chance quality0.12
9.6%Directness5.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Banfield, 2 for Lanús. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 36 of 390 matches, not the full season.