Primera División · Clausura - Round 13
Independiente Rivadavia
INE
Tigre
TIG
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Independiente Rivadavia69%
Draw16%
Tigre15%
Expected goals
3.11 – 1.56
Over 2.5
83%
Both to score
76%
Fair handicap
-1.50
Most likely scorelines
- 3–17.4%
- 2–17.3%
- 3–25.8%
- 4–15.6%
- 2–25.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Tigre get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
45%Possession49%
40%Territory40%
23%From set plays41%
0.15Chance quality0.10
7.7%Directness7.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Independiente Rivadavia, 3 for Tigre. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Independiente Rivadavia
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 36 of 390 matches, not the full season.