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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Primera División · Clausura - Round 13

Atlético Tucumán

ATL

Rosario Central

ROS

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Atlético Tucumán35%
Draw27%
Rosario Central37%

Expected goals

1.36 – 1.41

Over 2.5

51%

Both to score

57%

Fair handicap

0.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–112.2%
  • 0–19.2%
  • 1–08.8%
  • 1–28.3%
  • 2–18.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.

29%Possession57%
32%Territory40%
24%From set plays25%
0.12Chance quality0.11
6.2%Directness8.2%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Atlético Tucumán, 2 for Rosario Central. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 36 of 390 matches, not the full season.