Primera División · Clausura - Round 13
Huracán
HUR
Gimnasia LP
GIN
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Huracán30%
Draw19%
Gimnasia LP51%
Expected goals
2.29 – 2.88
Over 2.5
88%
Both to score
85%
Fair handicap
0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 2–26.3%
- 2–36.0%
- 1–25.7%
- 1–35.2%
- 3–24.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
43%Possession42%
33%Territory37%
3%From set plays40%
0.15Chance quality0.21
6.4%Directness10.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Huracán, 2 for Gimnasia LP. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 36 of 390 matches, not the full season.