Primera División · Clausura - Round 13
Sarmiento
SAR
Barracas Central
BAR
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Sarmiento33%
Draw28%
Barracas Central39%
Expected goals
1.24 – 1.36
Over 2.5
47%
Both to score
54%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.7%
- 0–110.4%
- 1–09.4%
- 0–08.6%
- 1–28.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
30%Possession51%
36%Territory39%
21%From set plays5%
0.14Chance quality0.08
14.8%Directness6.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Sarmiento, 3 for Barracas Central. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Sarmiento
Barracas Central
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 36 of 390 matches, not the full season.