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Primera División · Clausura - Round 13

Estudiantes de Río Cuarto

ESU

Aldosivi

ALD

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Estudiantes de Río Cuarto47%
Draw24%
Aldosivi29%

Expected goals

1.82 – 1.42

Over 2.5

62%

Both to score

64%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1110.4%
  • 219.2%
  • 107.7%
  • 127.0%
  • 226.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.

63%Possession41%
48%Territory33%
60%From set plays26%
0.07Chance quality0.09
6.3%Directness8.9%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Estudiantes de Río Cuarto, 3 for Aldosivi. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Estudiantes de Río Cuarto

No regular with a goal involvement yet.

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 36 of 390 matches, not the full season.