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Primera División · Clausura - Round 13

Newell's Old Boys

NEW

Central Córdoba de Santiago

CEN

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Newell's Old Boys52%
Draw24%
Central Córdoba de Santiago24%

Expected goals

1.90 – 1.25

Over 2.5

60%

Both to score

61%

Fair handicap

-0.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 1110.3%
  • 219.7%
  • 108.7%
  • 207.6%
  • 126.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.

45%Possession45%
33%Territory36%
32%From set plays27%
0.10Chance quality0.06
8.2%Directness9.4%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Newell's Old Boys, 3 for Central Córdoba de Santiago. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Central Córdoba de Santiago

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 36 of 390 matches, not the full season.