Primera División · Clausura - Round 13
Estudiantes
EST
San Lorenzo
SAN
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Estudiantes50%
Draw27%
San Lorenzo23%
Expected goals
1.57 – 1.02
Over 2.5
47%
Both to score
52%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–012.3%
- 1–112.0%
- 2–19.5%
- 2–08.9%
- 0–08.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Estudiantes will have the ball; San Lorenzo will not mind.
58%Possession44%
36%Territory36%
37%From set plays50%
0.07Chance quality0.07
7.6%Directness7.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Estudiantes, 3 for San Lorenzo. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 36 of 390 matches, not the full season.