Primera División · Clausura - Round 13
Defensa y Justicia
DEF
Instituto
INS
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Defensa y Justicia35%
Draw29%
Instituto36%
Expected goals
1.24 – 1.28
Over 2.5
45%
Both to score
53%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.9%
- 0–110.5%
- 1–010.2%
- 0–09.3%
- 1–28.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Instituto get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
52%Possession49%
38%Territory38%
23%From set plays40%
0.10Chance quality0.06
6.1%Directness7.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Defensa y Justicia, 3 for Instituto. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Defensa y Justicia
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 36 of 390 matches, not the full season.