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Primera División · Clausura - Round 13

Boca Juniors

BOC

Talleres

TAL

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Boca Juniors59%
Draw19%
Talleres21%

Expected goals

2.52 – 1.54

Over 2.5

76%

Both to score

72%

Fair handicap

-1.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 218.6%
  • 317.0%
  • 117.0%
  • 226.4%
  • 205.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.

48%Possession59%
28%Territory49%
3%From set plays18%
0.19Chance quality0.07
5.9%Directness4.8%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Boca Juniors, 3 for Talleres. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Boca Juniors

No regular with a goal involvement yet.

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 36 of 390 matches, not the full season.