Primera División · Clausura - Round 13
Racing Club
RAC
Independiente
IND
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Racing Club21%
Draw21%
Independiente58%
Expected goals
1.36 – 2.28
Over 2.5
69%
Both to score
67%
Fair handicap
0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–29.4%
- 1–18.3%
- 1–37.0%
- 0–26.9%
- 0–16.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Racing Club get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
64%Possession57%
45%Territory42%
40%From set plays21%
0.07Chance quality0.08
5.3%Directness6.1%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Racing Club, 3 for Independiente. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 36 of 390 matches, not the full season.