Primera División · Clausura - Round 12
Racing Club
RAC
Belgrano
BEL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Racing Club15%
Draw16%
Belgrano70%
Expected goals
1.41 – 2.96
Over 2.5
80%
Both to score
72%
Fair handicap
1.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–28.0%
- 1–37.7%
- 0–25.8%
- 1–45.6%
- 2–35.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Racing Club get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
64%Possession64%
45%Territory47%
40%From set plays15%
0.07Chance quality0.12
5.3%Directness6.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Racing Club, 3 for Belgrano. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 36 of 390 matches, not the full season.