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Primera División · Clausura - Round 12

River Plate

RIV

Estudiantes de Río Cuarto

ESU

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

River Plate71%
Draw17%
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto12%

Expected goals

2.59 – 1.03

Over 2.5

69%

Both to score

60%

Fair handicap

-1.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 219.3%
  • 209.2%
  • 318.0%
  • 307.6%
  • 107.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.

66%Possession63%
53%Territory48%
10%From set plays60%
0.13Chance quality0.07
5.7%Directness6.3%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for River Plate, 2 for Estudiantes de Río Cuarto. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Estudiantes de Río Cuarto

No regular with a goal involvement yet.

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 36 of 390 matches, not the full season.