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Primera División · Clausura - Round 12

Barracas Central

BAR

Huracán

HUR

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Barracas Central50%
Draw25%
Huracán25%

Expected goals

1.79 – 1.23

Over 2.5

57%

Both to score

60%

Fair handicap

-0.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 1110.9%
  • 219.6%
  • 109.3%
  • 207.7%
  • 126.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.

51%Possession43%
39%Territory33%
5%From set plays3%
0.08Chance quality0.15
6.7%Directness6.4%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Barracas Central, 2 for Huracán. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 36 of 390 matches, not the full season.