Primera División · Clausura - Round 12
Gimnasia LP
GIN
Atlético Tucumán
ATL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Gimnasia LP57%
Draw21%
Atlético Tucumán22%
Expected goals
2.30 – 1.45
Over 2.5
71%
Both to score
69%
Fair handicap
-0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 2–19.1%
- 1–18.1%
- 3–16.8%
- 2–26.5%
- 2–06.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
42%Possession29%
37%Territory32%
40%From set plays24%
0.21Chance quality0.12
10.8%Directness6.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Gimnasia LP, 3 for Atlético Tucumán. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Gimnasia LP
Atlético Tucumán
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 36 of 390 matches, not the full season.