Primera División · Clausura - Round 12
Tigre
TIG
Banfield
BAN
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Tigre48%
Draw21%
Banfield31%
Expected goals
2.23 – 1.80
Over 2.5
75%
Both to score
75%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 2–18.1%
- 1–17.5%
- 2–27.2%
- 1–26.3%
- 3–15.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
49%Possession41%
40%Territory37%
41%From set plays49%
0.10Chance quality0.11
7.2%Directness9.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Tigre, 3 for Banfield. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 36 of 390 matches, not the full season.