Primera División · Clausura - Round 12
Talleres
TAL
Independiente
IND
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Talleres35%
Draw25%
Independiente40%
Expected goals
1.51 – 1.63
Over 2.5
60%
Both to score
64%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.9%
- 1–28.6%
- 2–17.9%
- 0–17.5%
- 1–06.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
59%Possession57%
49%Territory42%
18%From set plays21%
0.07Chance quality0.08
4.8%Directness6.1%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Talleres, 3 for Independiente. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 36 of 390 matches, not the full season.