Primera División · Clausura - Round 12
Instituto
INS
Boca Juniors
BOC
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Instituto37%
Draw26%
Boca Juniors37%
Expected goals
1.54 – 1.53
Over 2.5
58%
Both to score
63%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.2%
- 2–18.3%
- 1–28.2%
- 1–07.6%
- 0–17.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
49%Possession48%
38%Territory28%
40%From set plays3%
0.06Chance quality0.19
7.8%Directness5.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Instituto, 2 for Boca Juniors. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Boca Juniors
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 36 of 390 matches, not the full season.