Primera División · Clausura - Round 12
Unión
UNI
Defensa y Justicia
DEF
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Unión46%
Draw24%
Defensa y Justicia30%
Expected goals
1.83 – 1.47
Over 2.5
63%
Both to score
65%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.2%
- 2–19.1%
- 1–07.3%
- 1–27.1%
- 2–26.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
42%Possession52%
36%Territory38%
28%From set plays23%
0.09Chance quality0.10
9.4%Directness6.1%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Unión, 3 for Defensa y Justicia. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 36 of 390 matches, not the full season.