Primera División · Clausura - Round 12
San Lorenzo
SAN
Deportivo Riestra
DEP
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
San Lorenzo40%
Draw29%
Deportivo Riestra31%
Expected goals
1.30 – 1.11
Over 2.5
43%
Both to score
50%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–113.1%
- 1–012.0%
- 0–010.3%
- 0–110.1%
- 2–18.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
44%Possession36%
36%Territory44%
50%From set plays21%
0.07Chance quality0.07
7.6%Directness10.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for San Lorenzo, 2 for Deportivo Riestra. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Deportivo Riestra
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 36 of 390 matches, not the full season.