Primera División · Clausura - Round 12
Gimnasia Mendoza
GIM
Newell's Old Boys
NEW
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Gimnasia Mendoza41%
Draw26%
Newell's Old Boys33%
Expected goals
1.55 – 1.39
Over 2.5
55%
Both to score
60%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.6%
- 2–18.7%
- 1–08.6%
- 1–27.8%
- 0–17.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
51%Possession45%
40%Territory33%
24%From set plays32%
0.07Chance quality0.10
6.4%Directness8.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Gimnasia Mendoza, 3 for Newell's Old Boys. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Gimnasia Mendoza
Newell's Old Boys
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 36 of 390 matches, not the full season.