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Primera División · Clausura - Round 11

Argentinos Juniors

ARG

Tigre

TIG

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Argentinos Juniors57%
Draw22%
Tigre21%

Expected goals

2.07 – 1.21

Over 2.5

63%

Both to score

62%

Fair handicap

-0.75

Most likely scorelines

  • 219.8%
  • 119.5%
  • 108.4%
  • 208.1%
  • 316.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Argentinos Juniors will have the ball; Tigre will not mind.

65%Possession49%
38%Territory40%
25%From set plays41%
0.07Chance quality0.10
6.8%Directness7.2%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Argentinos Juniors, 3 for Tigre. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 36 of 390 matches, not the full season.