Primera División · Clausura - Round 11
Banfield
BAN
Rosario Central
ROS
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Banfield23%
Draw22%
Rosario Central55%
Expected goals
1.42 – 2.18
Over 2.5
68%
Both to score
68%
Fair handicap
0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–29.3%
- 1–18.7%
- 1–36.6%
- 0–26.6%
- 2–26.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
41%Possession57%
37%Territory40%
49%From set plays25%
0.11Chance quality0.11
9.6%Directness8.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Banfield, 2 for Rosario Central. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 36 of 390 matches, not the full season.