Skip to content
Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Primera División · Clausura - Round 11

Independiente Rivadavia

INE

Gimnasia LP

GIN

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Independiente Rivadavia42%
Draw19%
Gimnasia LP38%

Expected goals

2.61 – 2.50

Over 2.5

87%

Both to score

85%

Fair handicap

0.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 2–26.6%
  • 3–25.6%
  • 2–15.4%
  • 2–35.3%
  • 1–25.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.

45%Possession42%
40%Territory37%
23%From set plays40%
0.15Chance quality0.21
7.7%Directness10.8%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Independiente Rivadavia, 2 for Gimnasia LP. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 36 of 390 matches, not the full season.