Primera División · Clausura - Round 11
Atlético Tucumán
ATL
Barracas Central
BAR
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Atlético Tucumán37%
Draw32%
Barracas Central31%
Expected goals
1.11 – 1.01
Over 2.5
35%
Both to score
44%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 0–013.7%
- 1–113.6%
- 1–013.4%
- 0–112.1%
- 2–17.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Barracas Central will have the ball; Atlético Tucumán will not mind.
29%Possession51%
32%Territory39%
24%From set plays5%
0.12Chance quality0.08
6.2%Directness6.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Atlético Tucumán, 3 for Barracas Central. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Atlético Tucumán
Barracas Central
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 36 of 390 matches, not the full season.