Primera División · Clausura - Round 11
Huracán
HUR
Aldosivi
ALD
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Huracán62%
Draw17%
Aldosivi21%
Expected goals
3.09 – 1.91
Over 2.5
86%
Both to score
81%
Fair handicap
-1.00
Most likely scorelines
- 2–16.4%
- 3–16.4%
- 3–26.1%
- 2–25.9%
- 4–14.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
43%Possession41%
33%Territory33%
3%From set plays26%
0.15Chance quality0.09
6.4%Directness8.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Huracán, 3 for Aldosivi. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 36 of 390 matches, not the full season.