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Primera División · Clausura - Round 11

Estudiantes de Río Cuarto

ESU

Racing Club

RAC

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Estudiantes de Río Cuarto52%
Draw23%
Racing Club25%

Expected goals

1.98 – 1.36

Over 2.5

64%

Both to score

65%

Fair handicap

-0.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 119.7%
  • 219.5%
  • 107.6%
  • 206.9%
  • 226.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.

63%Possession64%
48%Territory45%
60%From set plays40%
0.07Chance quality0.07
6.3%Directness5.3%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Estudiantes de Río Cuarto, 3 for Racing Club. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Estudiantes de Río Cuarto

No regular with a goal involvement yet.

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 36 of 390 matches, not the full season.