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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Primera División · Clausura - Round 11

Newell's Old Boys

NEW

Lanús

LAN

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Newell's Old Boys39%
Draw25%
Lanús37%

Expected goals

1.66 – 1.61

Over 2.5

62%

Both to score

66%

Fair handicap

0.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–110.5%
  • 2–18.3%
  • 1–28.1%
  • 2–26.9%
  • 1–06.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.

45%Possession56%
33%Territory40%
32%From set plays43%
0.10Chance quality0.12
8.2%Directness5.6%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Newell's Old Boys, 2 for Lanús. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 36 of 390 matches, not the full season.