Primera División · Clausura - Round 11
Defensa y Justicia
DEF
San Lorenzo
SAN
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Defensa y Justicia46%
Draw27%
San Lorenzo27%
Expected goals
1.53 – 1.13
Over 2.5
49%
Both to score
54%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.2%
- 1–011.2%
- 2–19.3%
- 0–08.0%
- 0–18.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Defensa y Justicia will have the ball; San Lorenzo will not mind.
52%Possession44%
38%Territory36%
23%From set plays50%
0.10Chance quality0.07
6.1%Directness7.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Defensa y Justicia, 3 for San Lorenzo. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Defensa y Justicia
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 36 of 390 matches, not the full season.