Primera División · Clausura - Round 11
Boca Juniors
BOC
Unión
UNI
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Boca Juniors60%
Draw19%
Unión21%
Expected goals
2.56 – 1.56
Over 2.5
77%
Both to score
73%
Fair handicap
-1.00
Most likely scorelines
- 2–18.5%
- 3–17.0%
- 1–16.8%
- 2–26.4%
- 3–25.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
48%Possession42%
28%Territory36%
3%From set plays28%
0.19Chance quality0.09
5.9%Directness9.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Boca Juniors, 2 for Unión. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Boca Juniors
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 36 of 390 matches, not the full season.