Primera División · Clausura - Round 11
Talleres
TAL
Belgrano
BEL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Talleres27%
Draw22%
Belgrano50%
Expected goals
1.57 – 2.12
Over 2.5
70%
Both to score
70%
Fair handicap
0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–28.9%
- 1–18.6%
- 2–26.9%
- 2–16.3%
- 1–36.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
59%Possession64%
49%Territory47%
18%From set plays15%
0.07Chance quality0.12
4.8%Directness6.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Talleres, 3 for Belgrano. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 36 of 390 matches, not the full season.