Primera División · Clausura - Round 10
Belgrano
BEL
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto
ESU
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Belgrano68%
Draw19%
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto13%
Expected goals
2.32 – 0.96
Over 2.5
63%
Both to score
56%
Fair handicap
-1.25
Most likely scorelines
- 2–010.3%
- 2–19.8%
- 1–09.3%
- 1–18.3%
- 3–07.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
64%Possession63%
47%Territory48%
15%From set plays60%
0.12Chance quality0.07
6.0%Directness6.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Belgrano, 2 for Estudiantes de Río Cuarto. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 36 of 390 matches, not the full season.