Primera División · Clausura - Round 10
Racing Club
RAC
Sarmiento
SAR
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Racing Club31%
Draw21%
Sarmiento48%
Expected goals
1.96 – 2.41
Over 2.5
80%
Both to score
79%
Fair handicap
0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–27.3%
- 2–27.1%
- 1–16.4%
- 2–15.8%
- 2–35.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
64%Possession30%
45%Territory36%
40%From set plays21%
0.07Chance quality0.14
5.3%Directness14.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Racing Club, 2 for Sarmiento. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Sarmiento
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 36 of 390 matches, not the full season.