Primera División · Clausura - Round 10
River Plate
RIV
Huracán
HUR
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
River Plate71%
Draw14%
Huracán15%
Expected goals
3.48 – 1.75
Over 2.5
88%
Both to score
80%
Fair handicap
-1.75
Most likely scorelines
- 3–16.7%
- 2–15.9%
- 3–25.8%
- 4–15.7%
- 4–25.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
66%Possession43%
53%Territory33%
10%From set plays3%
0.13Chance quality0.15
5.7%Directness6.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for River Plate, 2 for Huracán. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 36 of 390 matches, not the full season.