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Primera División · Clausura - Round 10

Aldosivi

ALD

Atlético Tucumán

ATL

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Aldosivi29%
Draw23%
Atlético Tucumán48%

Expected goals

1.52 – 1.96

Over 2.5

66%

Both to score

68%

Fair handicap

0.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 119.4%
  • 129.0%
  • 226.9%
  • 216.8%
  • 016.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Aldosivi will have the ball; Atlético Tucumán will not mind.

41%Possession29%
33%Territory32%
26%From set plays24%
0.09Chance quality0.12
8.9%Directness6.2%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Aldosivi, 3 for Atlético Tucumán. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 36 of 390 matches, not the full season.