Skip to content
Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Primera División · Clausura - Round 10

Gimnasia LP

GIN

Banfield

BAN

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Gimnasia LP76%
Draw13%
Banfield11%

Expected goals

3.57 – 1.51

Over 2.5

87%

Both to score

76%

Fair handicap

-2.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 3–17.3%
  • 4–16.4%
  • 2–16.2%
  • 3–25.4%
  • 4–24.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.

42%Possession41%
37%Territory37%
40%From set plays49%
0.21Chance quality0.11
10.8%Directness9.6%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Gimnasia LP, 3 for Banfield. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 36 of 390 matches, not the full season.