Primera División · Clausura - Round 10
Rosario Central
ROS
Argentinos Juniors
ARG
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Rosario Central49%
Draw26%
Argentinos Juniors25%
Expected goals
1.68 – 1.15
Over 2.5
53%
Both to score
56%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.5%
- 1–010.5%
- 2–19.6%
- 2–08.0%
- 0–16.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
57%Possession65%
40%Territory38%
25%From set plays25%
0.11Chance quality0.07
8.2%Directness6.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Rosario Central, 3 for Argentinos Juniors. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 36 of 390 matches, not the full season.