Primera División · Clausura - Round 10
Unión
UNI
Independiente
IND
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Unión35%
Draw25%
Independiente40%
Expected goals
1.54 – 1.66
Over 2.5
61%
Both to score
64%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.7%
- 1–28.6%
- 2–17.9%
- 0–17.2%
- 2–26.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
42%Possession57%
36%Territory42%
28%From set plays21%
0.09Chance quality0.08
9.4%Directness6.1%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Unión, 3 for Independiente. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 36 of 390 matches, not the full season.