Primera División · Clausura - Round 10
Central Córdoba de Santiago
CEN
Defensa y Justicia
DEF
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Central Córdoba de Santiago37%
Draw26%
Defensa y Justicia38%
Expected goals
1.53 – 1.56
Over 2.5
58%
Both to score
63%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.1%
- 1–28.3%
- 2–18.2%
- 0–17.5%
- 1–07.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
45%Possession52%
36%Territory38%
27%From set plays23%
0.06Chance quality0.10
9.4%Directness6.1%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Central Córdoba de Santiago, 3 for Defensa y Justicia. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Central Córdoba de Santiago
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 36 of 390 matches, not the full season.