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Primera División · Clausura - Round 10

Gimnasia Mendoza

GIM

Deportivo Riestra

DEP

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Gimnasia Mendoza45%
Draw27%
Deportivo Riestra28%

Expected goals

1.54 – 1.18

Over 2.5

50%

Both to score

55%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1112.1%
  • 1010.7%
  • 219.2%
  • 017.9%
  • 007.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.

51%Possession36%
40%Territory44%
24%From set plays21%
0.07Chance quality0.07
6.4%Directness10.7%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Gimnasia Mendoza, 2 for Deportivo Riestra. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Deportivo Riestra

No regular with a goal involvement yet.

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 36 of 390 matches, not the full season.