Primera División · Clausura - Round 10
Lanús
LAN
Estudiantes
EST
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Lanús46%
Draw25%
Estudiantes29%
Expected goals
1.78 – 1.40
Over 2.5
60%
Both to score
63%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.6%
- 2–19.2%
- 1–07.9%
- 1–27.0%
- 2–26.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
56%Possession58%
40%Territory36%
43%From set plays37%
0.12Chance quality0.07
5.6%Directness7.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Lanús, 3 for Estudiantes. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 36 of 390 matches, not the full season.