A-League Men · Matchweek 19
Melbourne City FC
MEL
Wellington Phoenix
WEL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Melbourne City FC46%
Draw27%
Wellington Phoenix27%
Expected goals
1.56 – 1.15
Over 2.5
50%
Both to score
55%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.0%
- 1–010.9%
- 2–19.3%
- 0–17.7%
- 2–07.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Melbourne City FC will have the ball; Wellington Phoenix will not mind.
53%Possession33%
36%Territory38%
41%From set plays6%
0.08Chance quality0.17
5.5%Directness6.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Melbourne City FC, 3 for Wellington Phoenix. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Melbourne City FC
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes.