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A-League Men · Matchweek 19

Central Coast Mariners

CEN

Adelaide United

ADE

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Central Coast37%
Draw26%
Adelaide United37%

Expected goals

1.51 – 1.50

Over 2.5

57%

Both to score

61%

Fair handicap

0.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–111.4%
  • 2–18.3%
  • 1–28.2%
  • 1–07.9%
  • 0–17.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.

53%Possession59%
36%Territory38%
15%From set plays23%
0.13Chance quality0.08
4.3%Directness3.9%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Central Coast, 2 for Adelaide United. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Adelaide United

No regular with a goal involvement yet.

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes.