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A-League Men · Matchweek 19

Perth Glory

PER

Brisbane Roar FC

BRI

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Perth Glory42%
Draw29%
Brisbane Roar FC29%

Expected goals

1.32 – 1.07

Over 2.5

42%

Both to score

49%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–113.0%
  • 1–012.4%
  • 0–010.4%
  • 0–19.8%
  • 2–18.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.

42%Possession63%
31%Territory39%
25%From set plays40%
0.15Chance quality0.10
5.0%Directness5.6%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Perth Glory, 2 for Brisbane Roar FC. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes.