A-League Men · Matchweek 19
Melbourne Victory
MEB
Macarthur FC
MAC
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Melbourne Victory47%
Draw27%
Macarthur FC26%
Expected goals
1.53 – 1.11
Over 2.5
48%
Both to score
54%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.2%
- 1–011.4%
- 2–19.3%
- 0–08.1%
- 0–18.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Melbourne Victory will have the ball; Macarthur FC will not mind.
51%Possession43%
34%Territory34%
19%From set plays24%
0.12Chance quality0.14
3.3%Directness5.1%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Melbourne Victory, 3 for Macarthur FC. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Melbourne Victory
Macarthur FC
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes.